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02/06/2025 12:46

{Market Preview}Concerns over the trade war resurface

[ET Net News Agency, 02 June 2025] Tensions in the China-US trade war have reignited,
with US President Trump accusing China of violating the tariff reduction agreement reached
in Geneva last month, suggesting he may discuss the matter with President Xi Jinping.
However, US Treasury Secretary Bessent expressed confidence that the latest friction would
be resolved during a call between the US and Chinese leaders. Hong Kong stocks are feeling
the pressure, compounded by the southern capital outflow restrictions during the Dragon
Boat Festival holiday in Mainland China. Only five blue-chip stocks rose during the
half-day session. The Hang Seng Index reported 22,778, down 511 points or 2.2%, falling
below 23,000, having dipped over 600 points and breached the 50-day moving average
(approximately 22,729) before recovering slightly. The main board recorded a turnover of
nearly HKD 884 billion. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index stood at 8,217, down 214
points or 2.5%. The Hang Seng Tech Index was at 5,044, down 125 points or 2.4%.

"Cheung Chi Wai: Hang Seng Index is likely to test lower levels"

This morning, the Hang Seng Index opened 246 points lower and the decline intensified,
reaching a low of 22,679.92 points during the session. Cheung Chi Wai, a joint managing
director at Prudential Brokerage Ltd, told ET Net News Agency that the index's short-term
trend is expected to remain weak due to the renewed China-US trade war and the US raising
tariffs on steel and aluminium imports, which has reignited market concerns about
deteriorating China-US relations.
Cheung Chi Wai noted that the index has fallen below the pre-trade war level of 22,849
(the closing price on 3 April), reflecting a return to a more cautious market sentiment
regarding the trade conflict. It is anticipated that the Hang Seng Index will continue to
test lower levels, with support around 21,800 and resistance at 23,276.

"May sales figures for car manufacturers disappoint"

As several Mainland China car manufacturers released their sales figures for last month,
the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers warned that a chaotic price war would
exacerbate "malicious competition." The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology
also indicated it would take measures to strengthen efforts against "inward" competition.
Many car manufacturers saw their stock prices decline this morning, including BYD (01211),
which fell for the sixth consecutive day, hitting a low of HKD 373.4, a ten-day low.
Cheung Chi Wai pointed out that the price cuts among Mainland China car manufacturers
reflect poor sales conditions in the industry. Additionally, May's car sales figures
showed only a slight month-on-month increase, indicating that sales may have peaked,
prompting manufacturers to hastily reduce prices. As a result, Cheung Chi Wai expects
continued downward pressure on car sector stock prices. It is believed that stability in
stock prices will only return once the price war among manufacturers concludes and sales
performance begins to stabilize.

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